Iowa Electronic Markets

Iowa Electronic Markets

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IEM predicts presidential elections

IPT's Market to Market: IEM predicts presidential elections
Published
2012.11.02
Image of IEM

The Tippie College of Business' Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM) operates like any futures market, only instead of forecasting the price of corn or beans or oil, it forecasts the outcomes of elections. Story from: IPT's Market to Market

IPT's Market to Market

Will your favorite new show get the axe?

illustration of a retro tv

Want to know if your favorite new show of the season will survive to see a second? A new business that uses prediction market methodology pioneered at the University of Iowa can offer some insight. Story

The IEM on PBS

The PBS NewsHour will profile the Iowa Electronic Markets tonight as part of a feature looking at alternative ways to forecast an election. Story

Obama still favored on IEM

IEM illustration

President Barack Obama remains a significant favorite on the Iowa Electronic Markets over Mitt Romney, and political observers think that today’s first debate between the two is a good chance for Romney to give some momentum to his campaign. Story

Smart money has always been on Obama

Published
2012.09.18

President Barack Obama has been favored to win the popular vote for months on the Iowa Electronic Markets and other prediction markets. Story from: VentureBeat

VentureBeat

Obama up, Romney down on IEM

After two weeks of political party conventioneering, traders on the Iowa Electronic Markets believe President Barack Obama has a significantly higher likelihood of winning the popular vote on Election Day. Story

Long, hot summer for Romney

mitt romney portrait

It's been a cruel summer for Mitt Romney on the Iowa Electronic Markets. Polls show a tight race between Romney and President Barack Obama on the eve of the Republican National Convention, but the two are heading in opposite directions on the IEM. Story

Ryan nod leads to Obama gains on Iowa Electronic Markets

paul ryan portrait

The price of a Mitt Romney contract has fallen more than 5 percent on the Iowa Electronic Markets since he named Paul Ryan as his vice presidential nominee. Story

No control in Congress?

Prices on the Iowa Electronic Markets show traders believe a Republican takeover of Congress is the most likely outcome of this November’s elections, but they increasingly favor an outcome in which neither party controls a chamber. Story

Obama price jumps on Iowa Electronic Markets after health care ruling

Traders on the Iowa Electronic Markets see President Barack Obama as the big political winner in today’s decision by the Supreme Court to uphold most of the health care law. Story

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